Understanding Online Attention: from Item Popularity to Market Landscapes

Abstract:

What makes a video popular, what drives collective attention online, what are the commonalities and differences between clicks and transactions in a market? This talk aims to answer these three questions.  I will first discuss a physics-inspired stochastic time series model that explains and forecasts the seemingly unpredictable volumes of views over time. This affords novel metrics for forecasting expected popularity gain per share, and sensitivity to promotions. I will then describe novel measurement studies and machine learning models for a network of online items driving attention to each other. Lastly I will introduce a macroscopic view of attention, which affords mathematical descriptions of market equilibriums and distributed optimisation. These results form the foundations of our ongoing work in the computational view of attention markets and potential mechanisms for encouraging a healthy online ecosystem.

Speaker:

Prof. Lexing Xie

Professor of Computing

The Australian National University

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