Understanding Online Attention: from Item Popularity to Market Landscapes
Abstract:
What makes a video popular,
what drives collective attention online, what are the commonalities and
differences between clicks and transactions in a market? This talk aims to
answer these three questions. I will first discuss a physics-inspired stochastic
time series model that explains and forecasts the seemingly unpredictable
volumes of views over time. This affords novel metrics for forecasting expected
popularity gain per share, and sensitivity to promotions. I will then describe
novel measurement studies and machine learning models for a network of online
items driving attention to each other. Lastly I will introduce a macroscopic
view of attention, which affords mathematical descriptions of market
equilibriums and distributed optimisation. These results form the foundations
of our ongoing work in the computational view of attention markets and
potential mechanisms for encouraging a healthy online ecosystem.
Speaker:
Prof. Lexing Xie
Professor of Computing
The Australian National University